Monday, 8 July 2019

People before party - it's now or never

The scale of the earthquake in British politics is only just becoming apparent.  While the binary narrative focuses upon which of the two Tory leadership candidates can spew out the most idiotic, delusional fascist bile, and Labour disappears into a self-inflicted irrelevance of casuistry and anti-semitism, the European elections demonstrated just how fissile and impermanent political loyalty has become.

To a large extent, the Tories now resemble a wounded dinosaur.  It takes a long time for awareness of its death to reach the extremities, yet there is a growing realisation that the ultimate destination of Cameron's supping with the devil is the elimination of what has been a phenomenally-successful electoral force over two centuries.  Pincered between the embarrassing fascism of the Brexit franchise, epitomised by the repugnant grandstanding in Strasbourg and the dribbling discharges from  Widdecombe, and the realisation by a small minority of the party (most of whom are either already on the backbencher or about to be sacked) that to be complicit in the hallucinogenic treason of Hunt and Johnson is tantamount to taking a cyanide pill, the Tories are toast.

Revolutions devour their own children, and have a nasty habit of deteriorating into catastrophe at a moment's notice.  The Brexit neo-Nazis, for example Daniel Hannan, and Far-ge himself, do not like being reminded that they promised a gentle disengagement from the political structures of the EU while staying within the boundaries of economic integration and reasonable behaviour.  Their hysteria when this is pointed out is a clear demonstration that the wheels have sheared off their treasonable wagon.

The Tories are a vile amalgam of the racist, the careerist, the stupid and those who manage to combine all three.  The mere idea that Hunt might be a more acceptable candidate is risible until the reality sinks home.  Within days or weeks of Johnson's coronation, the process of disrupting the cosy narrative and entitlement accelerates.  It will be interesting to see which of the few remaining honourable Tories leads the rump of sentient beings out of the party and into the arena where they are working for the votes of those who do not believe that the tribal labels work.

Whilst the Tories are engaging in the kind of activity that resembles monkeys throwing their own excrement around, the Liberal Democrats are also having a leadership election.  A year ago this would have seemed like a minor digression, of interest only to those of us who regard politics as interest.  However, there is now a yawning opportunity that will require everyone to start behaving like adults.  

The reality of the Greens and Plaid Cymru standing aside to allow the best-placed pro-European candidate to stand against a convicted criminal and a fascist in the Brecon and Radnorshire by-election is, hopefully, a precursor to a rapid recognition that in the face of a Tory suicide cult the old certainties need to be suspended until there is a more representative electoral system in place for Westminster.  There are detailed, but speedy, discussions to be had.  Not standing against each other in already-held seats, and identifying targets that can be taken is necessary for all the "smaller" European parties.  The real challenge will be if and how those who remain in Labour and the Tories but have basic intelligence and integrity can be supported, tacitly or actively.  A 2019 Coupon election might not be so far-fetched.

Mechanisms for ensuring that the system is not gamed by the Tories or by their new-found Putin-franchised Brexit Party allies may not need to be formalised.  Harnessing communications through traditional and non-traditional means is a start - and an informal agreement to focus fire on the real enemy seems already to be in place.  The scale of the crisis requires medium-term party advantage to be placed to the side, preferring instead to preserve and create the conditions where the relationship of the UK to Europe is not the defining issue.  There is plenty of time to unpick austerity, authoritarianism and to reshape the British constitution.  Working out how to do that in detail while the Tories slash and burn is a luxury for which none of us will ever deserve to be forgiven.

Sunday, 26 May 2019

Focus on the crisis, not the Tory cultists

Theresa May's departure was as dignified as her despicable tenure as Prime Minister.  A fake, a liar and a conniving inadequate to the end, it was impossible not to see the lachrymose outburst as that of a petulant toddler denied access to the toybox, or a scripted insult to those whose lives have been impoverished financially, spiritually and emotionally, or lost, as a result of her callous disregard for the conventions of humanity.  Dressed up as a Christian, she has espoused sowing division, hatred and incompetence as a deflection from her constant attempt to appease the impending fascist tide.

We are now in a timewarp, with a reminder that since Cameron's moronic referendum, no progress at all has been made in terms of defining the UK's future relationship with its allies or its internal configuration.  The parade of egotistic inadequates, criminals and braggarts that the Tories will inflict on their geriatric extremist membership (the term activist would be misplaced) over the next two months is a pathetic reminder that our futures are bound up not in terms of the citizens' interests but in appearing to be a slavering parody of Nigel Farage.  No sane Tory will get near the run-off ballot, and my prediction is that no new leader will be able to command a majority in the Commons.

All this, against a background of awaiting results from the European elections.  It is axiomatic that this will be spun as a barnstorming victory for the neo-Nazis who regard Farage as a more extreme Johnson, but the numbers underneath will be fascinating.  As with many others, my vote was cast for a strong, unambiguous Remain party.  The possibility that both Tories and Labour could be eclipsed will continue the inevitable punishment for lies, soft-soap and sophistry.

Labour's failing has been a reluctance to take a clear, straightforward position.  You expect the Tories to be slippery, unable to determine the difference between factional advantage and reality.  Labour should be pounding home the advantages that a divided, incompetent government provides an opposition - a statement of what it stands for and what would change, including a clear position to pause and reverse the suicide note of Brexit that allows the domestic agenda to be shifted in favour of environmental sustainability and democratic reform, could have made a difference not just to the European polls but to the local election humiliation of both establishment parties.

I am old enough to remember the 1980s and the 1990s.  The latter decade saw a bandwagon erasure of the Tory power base in local government and then in Westminster - clear opposition and a national disgust at what seems in retrospect like a competent administration under Major saw an annual humiliation as Labour and Liberal Democrat candidates took over unlikely local authorities.  Labour went backward three weeks ago.  This alone should be disturbing to those who want to see an end to this disgusting parody of government.

Instead of perpetuating fifty shades of ambiguity, the fall of May requires a clear response that unites opposition to the delusional cultists of the Tory fringe.  Whatever form of policy that takes it should be enough to articulate that the version of national immolation that the Tory pretenders will hawk round to their brown-shirted minions is untenable, that three years have been wasted on narcissistic infighting and that there needs to be a stop to this before the situation becomes irrecoverable.  Whether it involves revoking the Article 50 notification, a confirmatory referendum, a General Election or any permutation of the three is secondary.  This is now crisis, the clock has ticked down and sitting around preening and pretending that there is a mystic formula that can unite "remainers and leavers" is the act of cowards and lunatics.

The world has moved on.  We stare into an abyss of climate emergency, hostile interference in the affairs of other states and the prolongation of stagnation and austerity.   This has to be set out as the context that frames the crisis and defines the responses.  If Labour's performance is as disappointing as some have predicted, then the opportunities of Tory shysters slugging it out could be lost.  The mantle of opposition sits elsewhere - now the choice is for the main party to catch up or be aligned with the death spiral.  Unless the response is quick, the internal folderols of the Corbyn cabal will be as anachronistic as Rees-Mogg's fascist ignorance.

Monday, 22 April 2019

Change UK - a tribute act to the SDP?

Disturbingly, Chuka Umunna seems to regard David Owen as a role model.  Thirty-eight years ago there was a similar diaspora of Labour's right-wingers, frustrated both at the political direction that the leadership was taking the party and also at their own personal marginalisation.  The trajectory of the SDP should be an object lesson in the realty of political defection, but a combination of arrogance and ignorance seems likely to derail the Change UK prospectus even before it contests elections.

Leaving aside the betrayal of the Liberal Party by David Steel, who should have accepted Roy Jenkins's approach of joining to broaden the membership base, the SDP's inglorious history enabled the Tories to exploit an electoral system which penalises smaller parties, and it took sixteen years for Labour to win an election and oust what was then perceived as one of the most foetid and incompetent administrations in history.  We have the Cameron/May cabal of corrupt and criminal traitors to thank for making John Major's tenure look like a beacon of sound and peaceful governance.

Drawing too many parallels with the Owenite view of the SDP is not necessarily sensible - the two-party system has already fractured with the rise of civic national parties and the apparent continuing appeal of the SNP in Scotland.  The electoral arithmetic is even more complicated, although reading the pseudo-analysis of the London media would suggest otherwise.  There is no obvious path to majority power for either of the two largest parties.  Leaving aside the Brexit paroxysm, the UK political map does not look encouraging for the decisive government that the apologists for first-past-the-post have been dribbling on about for decades.

The Change UK approach is interestingly inverse to that of the SDP.  Defections took place before they had a platform.  They have relied on publicity and the expectation that there would be more to follow, rather than setting out principles and policy.  The SDP founders issued the Limehouse Declaration before they formally launched, so at least potential supporters knew that there were signing up to a managerialist, centre-left party without roots in liberal or environmental credentials.  Who knows what Umunna actually stands for?  The Labour refuseniks within Change UK give the impression of individuals with personal grievances rather than a principled, and correct, objection to the hi-jacking of the party agenda by a neo-Stalinist cabal around the leader.

Where they have scored highly is in securing Tory defections.  Allen, Soubry and Wollaston are scalps of more stature as they were consistent in their opposition to May's pandering to the extreme right and enabling economic suicide.  In attempting to create a centrist force this is not to be sniffed at, but this does not make a political movement or create the sense of progress that is needed.  Much more impressive, on balance, than the Labour exodus.

However, the tactics smack, much as the SDP did, of a focus-group approach that has identified a gap in the market rather than passion.  These are big beasts, let out into a world where they do not have the membership or the organisation.  The SDP assumed that they were the natural governors, and that the voters would follow - this was to be proved to be insufficient to make up for the lack of depth in terms of ground-based organisation.  Change UK is operating in a different political system, where social media and diminished tribalism may play in its favour, but it is not in a position to break the mould.

Another point in common with the SDP is the disdain for the Liberals.  Owen, in particular, despised the anti-nuclear, anti-authority and semi-anarchism that many Liberals exhibited in the 1980s, let alone the belief that economic policy alone does not determine politics.  Where the Liberals and the Liberal Democrats scored was having a local organisation and a membership that always exceeded that of the SDP.  However, the SDP exploited this by the Alliance and then the merger, whereas Change UK take a couple of minutes to mutter "tuition fees" and continue to play as though they are direct challengers for power.  Hardly changing.

Predicting what happens with the electoral process in detail is not practical, or sensible.  However, the views that Umunna and others are expressing are those of the Labour right drifting towards the moon-howling outlands.  The Woodrow Wyatts, Reg Prentices and David Owens of their generation? Time will tell, but if they end up spouting the Europhobic racism of the Finkelsteins and the Owens then this will merely be another historical tragedy repeated as farce.  I hope I am proved wrong and that this is about principle rather than ego.

Saturday, 6 April 2019

The Tories can never be forgiven

At present, I am depressed, scared and angry.  All of them have superlative modifiers, all of them are present at any one time and the primary emotion alternates depending upon the permutations of treacherous idiocy being perpetrated.  The nations of the risibly-named United Kingdom are less than seven days away from a scandalous catastrophe that marks the culmination of decades of incestuous, criminal subversion from the Conservative Party and its scions.  With very few honourable exceptions they are guilty and deserve whatever fate is coming for them.

From the positioning noises being made by Labour at the moment May's offer to discuss a potential duopolositic denial of democracy is not going well.  She is a fantasist, a delusional maniac with her greasy fingers in the disaster capitalist till.  She should be hounded out of office - her strategy, if you can call it such, is to run down the clock until it is too late for any rational or representative action, and then to blame others for the deliberate misfortune that she has wrought.  One can only hope that Labour will call her bluff and implement their own party policy as quickly as possible - an unambiguous commitment to a confirmatory referendum on any deal would be better than this delusional game that suggests a bipartisan stitch-up could ever enjoy informed consent.

The Tories have presided over a corrupt shambles of a government.  Soberingly, the Coalition years now seem almost a beacon of sanity, where there was not political paralysis to the same degree whether or not you agreed with the direction of the administration.  Corbyn and Labour need to beware of the obloquy that will be heaped upon them for digging the Tories out of their self-inflicted mire.  There will be no Rose Garden moment over Brexit, merely the pricks and thorns of a death cult bear-hug.

Were there to be a wider and more reasoned debate, there would be civil insurrection.  May has treated the future of the nations as a game to unite the Tories - everything has been seen through the prism of party interest, dressed up as some kind of patriotic game.  The hard-core full-on fascist tinge has been out in force, risibly aspiring to the demotic evil of Oswald Mosley and reduced to the ridiculous dimness and malice of Mark Francois, who is probably even now dreaming of exporting gammon futures to the Middle East.

The dialogue has all been internal - and where it does not fit the autocratic fantasy it has been non-existent.  The contempt for Scotland and anyone other than the knuckle-dragging cavemen of the DUP in Ireland is writ large - the long-term strategy of the Tories must be to remove those parts of the country where the electorate might demonstrate open-mindedness and intelligence on a scale that precludes their hegemony.  Dark money, corruption and lies are all deployed to maintain the illusion of a legitimate party - disguising their reliance on foreign powers and the large numbers who have a personal interest in beggaring the rest of us.

Depression and fear are only rational - and it is clear that for those of us who are resisting this monstrous sedition they are increasingly prevalent.  A government that deliberately stresses two-thirds of its own citizens is not responsible or fit to be in office - and if it cannot be reversed by peaceful means the tumbrils will be waiting.  A government that pursues unicorns and fantasies and continually spews out lies and misrepresentations is one that has no legitimacy - and its members need to look to their own interests and the law before they are caught up with.

At the centre of this web sits Theresa May.  There are some who express sympathy - I cannot - purely because of her health and the party that she has failed to lead.  There are those who continue to back her - they are lunatics and complicit.  She has deliberately sabotaged a nation and is putting thousands if not millions of people at immediate risk of harm.  If there is no pulling-back from the brink, then the situation will spiral out of control.  At that stage we will need to identify the architects of evil and take the appropriate controls.  Wherever she thinks she can escape to, including her retirement home in the EU, she will need to be hounded down.  An evil leader, enabled by a party increasingly home to cronies, fanatics and the amorally-stupid.

Sunday, 24 March 2019

Criminal Tories and the national interest

The extraordinary has become normal.  Theresa May's disgraceful appearance to subvert the final twitchings of representative government last Wednesday should really have been given the full 1980s South American junta treatment, with flags and uniforms rather than an inadequate moron behind the Downing Street rostrum.  In accusing the legislature of frustrating her embodiment as the expression of the popular will, it reinforced the certainty that the constituent nations of the United Kingdom are living through a coup focused on the faction-fighting within the Conservative Party.

Watching as yesterday's mass demonstration grew and grew was equally heartening and depressing.  For millions to come together in anger and despair creates a basis for a revival of civic discourse in the future, especially without rancour and malice - compared to the hatred and spew being ejected by those of the fascist fringe towards it.  Anything that can unite Sarah Vine, Kate Hoey and "Canon" Giles Fraser in a seething dribble of authoritarian vomit has to be intrinsically good, whatever the cause. Vine describes us as "sub-humans" - it is chilling that she is married to someone spoken of as the next Tory leader who shares a bed and values with someone who believes in Nazi eugenic policy as a means of exterminating opposition.

We have a non-functioning government about to be mown down from outside and within.  When even the BBC, which has lost any credibility as anything other than a propaganda outlet for the state, leads on the internal coups and plots to oust a Prime Minister who is, under party rules, inviolate until December, and which is unable even to pretend there is any strategy to our European partners that will allow a line to be drawn under the sorry farce of the "will of the people", the end must be nigh.  The enemies and wreckers are May and her internal demons - they have created a climate where the last three decades of toxic Toryism are placed above either national or self-interest.

What is now clear is that the English party system is broken.  I was unable to join the largest civic mobilisation in decades yesterday, but there was common sense spoken across boundaries.  Nicola Sturgeon and Michael Heseltine are not the obvious combination on a platform of resistance to English exceptionalism, but my First Minister managed to contain her party's desire for immediate progress towards independence towards pushing to support a return to sanity across the nations.  I suspect that this will not be forgotten in the post-mortems within Scotland, and will have done the pro-independence cause no harm!

Heseltine, Blair, Major and the Milibands give the impression of adult politics.  Even Tom Watson managed to inject fury of an oppositional kind that the unwise Corbyn failed to extend on his day trip to Morecambe.  Imagine the effectiveness of opposing the pro-austerity, pro-globalisation agenda that has driven the corrupt cabal around Brexit.  Imagine the impact that not stepping up to the challenge of avoiding national suicide will have when it is clear how much time has been wasted not just "respecting the result" of a criminal fraud but actively enabling its perpetuation.

The paradox is that May is now more reliant on Corbyn than she is in her own party, and he is in many ways a better friend to her.  For a spitting-blood self-styled revolutionary this should give Labour apologists pause for thought.  Bringing down a government for a time-wasting General Election is not necessarily a good strategy.  It does create the rallying-point for May and her bigoted apparatchiks to appeal against the outside threat.  Far better now to seek to take control to the Commons and beyond party boundaries - looking in a time of crisis to have enabled the process to step beyond the internecine spats of the Tories and to the interests of the nation as a whole.

This is deep crisis - this is frighteningly real.  Predicting what might, or even should, happen is not really feasible.  The May disaster is treachery, betrayal and lies, benefiting the hedge funds, the foreign powers and the dark money that has corrupted politics.  Yesterday's march and the current online petition demonstrate resistance is becoming more bold and more essential.  However, in a coup where the criminals are desperate and cornered we are all in danger.  All of us who want to resist a lunatic policy managed by the sectionable and the depraved need to be prepared to look out for one another - at present I applaud anyone who speaks sense, for the rule of law and for the sovereignty of the people.  May did not do that, never has, and has never had it in her.

Until last year, it had been difficult to argue that Cameron was the worst Prime Minister in recorded history.  In her attempts to cling on to power, to usurp the rule of law and to pursue policies so manifestly mad and evil that she has to resort to a coup, May does not just need to be removed but to face criminal proceedings.  She is unfit for office, and anyone in her party who continues to argue for either her or her policies is abetting and conspiring to destroy the country and complicit in corrupt practice.

Tuesday, 19 March 2019

When the Tories go full Nazi

The dangerous times we are living in ratchet ever-closer to revolution.  Despite the mewling platitudes of the fraudsters, the hard-right coup that underpins Britain's withdrawal from its allies, its sanity and its prosperity was never based around parliamentary democracy, nor about the unelected imposing their will.  The latter has been the objective throughout.  When the chips are down, "having control of our own laws" becomes an irrelevant distraction from the full-blown coup that May is enabling on behalf of hostile powers.

It would not surprise me if the House of Commons was burned down - after all May's predecessors in Germany orchestrated the arson of the Reichstag in 1933.  Then as now a minority party was seizing control through the abuse and perversion of constitutional norms, aided and abetted by those behind the scenes whose interests were served by the overthrow of legitimate government.  The use of procedure and intimidation in parallel comes as second nature to May's captors in the DUP, a party born of terrorism and bigotry.

May has spent the last two years behaving as though her mandate for any action she takes is sanctioned by a massive popular groundswell, and her sinister abuse of the language of democracy and compromise is pure National Socialist.  The absence of an outraged, credible principal Opposition party position throughout this period has enabled it - abstruse debates between the windmill-tilting Lexiters and those who do not see collective poverty as a necessary enabler of the revolutionary vanguard echo the purity of the KPD in stopping a left alliance in Germany after 1929 - Corbyn's Stalinist minders in the form of Milne and Murray have form in answering to Moscow and the interests of a narrow bloc, mirror images and patsies of the very group they claim to be opposing.

Enabling Acts, the suspension of democratic process and the demonising of opposition are all the hallmarks of a slide into dictatorship.  The undermining of the devolution settlements and the privileged treatment for a group that secured less than a third of the Northern Irish electorate's support are short-term tactics that are part of the hard-right playbook, looking beyond the tragedy they are orchestrating into a world where the rule of law has been undermined by pure economic considerations.

If there are any Tories under an illusion that their party remains rooted in the sensible, mainstream political base of a civilised country, they need to think again, quickly.  The MPs who have sat on their hands to enable the coup will find their own legitimacy swept away - much as the Nazis achieved after 1934 - and they will be prisoners, pseudo-democratic canaries kept to sing slightly-sanitised versions of Rees-Mogg's Horst Wessel song.  Unless there is a speedy, brutal counter-coup the Tories will achieve a bastardised authoritarianism spiked with the tropes of the alt-right that is currently on the rampage across the globe.  There are a few honourable people left - they should jump overboard before their hostage status removes any autonomy.

May looks and sounds like a cornered rat at the moment, because the coup is not complete. There is a narrowing window for control to be asserted over a lunatic and a betrayer, even to the extent of removal from office on the grounds of misconduct, cupidity and corruption.  The stakes get higher by the day.  While there remain those who are prepared to stand up for the balances and challenges within the defective or non-existent constitution, there is still hope.  She has two cards left to play - war or the monarchy.  If I were in the latter camp, I would be praying that Hindenburg died of natural causes.

Sunday, 20 January 2019

May's Thatcher moment - when insanity is toppled from within

Delusions, fantasies and downright lies should not be the currency of government.  Theresa May seems to regard it as a poor show if she cannot include all three in a vacuous, dictatorial soundbite with the monotonous sanctimony of the failed teacher on a regular basis.  After a week where the sole purpose of her disgusting government was thoroughly entombed by the House of Commons, it would have been a reasonable expectation that a responsible leader might have addressed the crisis rather than stoking it.

Last night's bombing in Northern Ireland should be a reminder that in pursuing her monomaniac sociopathy May is risking every single positive policy of the last half-century.  For a self-identifying Christian Conservative this is both condemning and evil, but then it is impossible to take any mealy-mouthed patronising utterance as containing honesty, sincerity or even a nodding acquaintance with reality.  She makes the average Pharisee look like a cross between Gandhi and Buddha.

One of the last conversations about politics that I had with my father was where May sits in the pantheon of awful Prime Ministers.  For a man whose memories included Chamberlain, Eden, Douglas Home and Wilson, let alone Thatcher and Cameron, this was a serious matter, but she wallowed several fathoms below even the most sewage-infested predecessor.  Less than three months after his death, I suspect that he would have been even more awestruck by the sheer evil and subversion that she is now pushing.

It should be remembered that Thatcher and Major were not typical Tories.  For all their faults, which are not forgotten, they did not exhibit quite the same level of entitlement and arrogance that epitomises their successors.  Major, in particular, retained a sense of decency and service that is now being deployed effectively against the May dictatorship.  May is a daughter of privilege, an amoral pursuer of wealth and power - a career autocrat who believes that the rule of law is an interference in her divinely-inspired right to govern.  Her lodestars are Charles I and Vladmir Putin, and I am increasingly of the view that the fate of the former would be too generous an outcome for her.

In dealing with our European partners, she secured an agreement that was riddled with her own authoritarian contradictions.  It settled nothing, and satisfied nobody beyond a coterie of sycophantic morons.  The half-witted right-wing press endorsed it with fingers crossed and clenched teeth, fearing that if its corrupt ineptitude were exposed their own cupidity and criminality would become common currency.  Given her depraved stupidity, and her antipathy to anything that recognises other human beings as having any rights, it was hardly surprising that she crashed and burned.

As usual, Corbyn let her off the hook.  For a government just short of a majority in the Commons to lose a vote by a margin of Damoclean proportions was astounding, but the Islington parrot immediately rose to her challenge of a confidence motion, walking straight into the trap.  A tactician, wishing to bring down this basket-case of a pseudo-government, would have allowed her time to fail before pushing the button.  It would have been appropriate before Christmas, and before the meaningless vote, but instead it focused attention on the loyalty and bribery that she has used to secure her position, and distracted from her despicable treachery and lies.

She is now mewling that Parliament cannot exercise power as it will defy her exercise of what she perceives as the popular will.  Her attempts to co-opt opposition politicians into her lunacy look doomed, and her own party will only vote for her where it doesn't matter - to retain their privilege and relative immunity from scrutiny.  The average Tory is not blessed with either intellect or morality, and therefore she may be safe in the very short-term from internal discord.  Mogg's egotistic triggering of no confidence in her in December now looks like the miscalculation that goes with the territory of the incestuous fascist.

The period of politics that we are forced to live through is frightening in the extreme.  The consequences in the short-term are catastrophic and deranged - which should be enough for any politician with a remaining sense of duty to step into.  There is no reason for party games any more - this is a question of survival, both physically and within the rule of law.  May dribbles on about any "betrayal" triggering the gammon, but if she cannot even guarantee basic law enforcement then she is unfit for office.  Conjecture as to what will happen when the disaffected, hungry and dying feel no requirement to play by Tory rules needs to be stepped up - the prospect of civil breakdown is not driven by a bunch of hooligans triggered by Farage but by a government incapable of discharging its fundamental obligations.

For those of us with longer memories, this resembles the latter days of Thatcher but multiplied.  By her last years in office, Thatcher had become visibly disconnected from reality - the rhetoric that she embodied the nation and that any suicidal and cruel policy that she endorsed had their backing resulted in the poll tax and the Lawson boom.  Sadly, the poll tax was rectified with relative ease, the stain and depravity of Brexit will take generations to erase.  May makes Thatcher look dignified in her exit - virtually any scenario for her departure requires formal deposition.  A malevolent squatter, she will require eviction by force.

No predictions are sensible, no confidence can be expressed in any outcome.  A small positivity is feasible given that she has not just been wounded but dealt a mortal blow.  What now needs to be engineered is a constitutional process that eliminates her before the impetus turns into a revolutionary change.  What comes after that is vital, but waits for another day.